gjones@linfield.edu. The 2019 harvest is underway in many regions, with sparkling varieties and other early ripening varieties picked across the west. — Barry Burbank (@BarryWBZ) September 29, 2019. One of the most significant areas of drought concern continues to be western Washington, northwestern Oregon, and portions across the northern border areas with British Columbia. Winter Weather, Observations Next 5 days: mild to warm conditions through the week with a minor cool down into the weekend due to a shift to onshore flow in the PNW, California will not cool down as much but will have some marine layer incursions along the coast in the usual locations. Hurricane Florence update & tropical weather forecast: September 10, 2018 - Duration: 3:45. 6-10 Day (valid September 8-12): after a relatively warm start to the month, this forecast period will likely be influenced by onshore flow and marine layers with near-average to slightly cooler than average conditions. Drought Watch – drought conditions expanded slightly over the US during the month (Figure 4, left panel). Seasonal deviations in growing degree-days (GDD) mapped over the western US since March shows a mixed pattern (Figure 3). Lake Effect Snow ENSO Watch – the weak El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific have declined to neutral ENSO levels with only slightly warmer than average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the key areas of the Tropical Pacific (Figure 5). The ‘blob’ of extremely warm ocean temperatures in the North Pacific should be the main influence in the 90 day forecast (see below) with a likely warm late summer/early fall for most of the west, but likely continued higher than average humidity and minimum temperatures. Waterspouts AccuWeather released its fall 2019 weather forecast. Severe Weather Questions? Spotter FAQs A plume of deep Pacific moisture will impact the Pacific Northwest into midweek, causing multiple rounds of heavy rain along the coast and in lower elevations and high elevation snow. Regional Observations, Climate With the tropics moving to a neutral ENSO phase (see above), the warm North Pacific should play a larger role in the influence on the western US weather during the next 3-4 months. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. The forecast uses global, numerical long range models from the CFSV2 and Beijing Climate Center (BCC) to attempt to predict what may happen during the coming month. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration High & Low Weather Summary for September 2019 Temperature Humidity Pressure; High: 90 °F (Sep 10, 1:53 pm) 100% (Sep 28, 12:13 am) 30.22 "Hg (Sep 28, 12:13 am) Low: Weather Forecast Office. Experts predict that "above-normal temperatures" will linger across much of the United States through September. The water year period to date has been 110-200% of average for these regions (Figure 2). If these conditions continue to hold the weather across the western US will likely see less of a Tropical Pacific influence than if the El Niño conditions had stayed in place. The areas with the highest likelihood are the desert southwest and the Four Corners region along with northern New England. NWS 30 Day (valid September 1-30): the warm start to the month, followed by mild near average temperatures mid-month, appears to be finished with a warm ending. Recreational While some areas are running up to 250-500 GDD above average, coastal areas of central to southern California, the North Coast, and portions of eastern Washington are closer to the average or slightly below average for this time of year. Appendix Figure 2 – Temperature (left panel) and precipitation (right panel) outlooks for the month of September (top panel) and September, October, and November (bottom panel) (Climate Prediction Center, climate.gov). The western US precipitation pattern reflected the anomalous frontal passages that were in place for a few periods in the month with northern California and southern Oregon seeing 200-300% of average (still < 1” in most places), onshore flow in western Washington, thunderstorm activity in eastern Oregon/Washington and no monsoon to speak of (Figure 1). [1] Note that all references to averages in this report are to the 1981-2010 climate normal for each weather/climate parameter unless stated otherwise. Southern Winter Storm; Atmospheric River to Impact the Northwest. Normal Rainfall Gaylord, MI8800 Passenheim RoadGaylord, MI 49735-9454989-731-3384Comments? Still hot over the western parts on Sunday, but temperatures also start to rise in Gauteng & the eastern parts after a chilly Saturday. Reports also indicate that mid-month may be the center of the harvest, but the forecasted mild and dry conditions should allow for a slow and steady harvest window. Locations in the Willamette Valley, the Umpqua Valley, the Rogue Valley, and the Walla Walla Valley are currently 10-25% above the 1981-2010 normals for the months of April through August and from the same to 6% lower than the same point in 2018 (see the Appendix Figure 1 for the four locations in Oregon). Appendix Figure 1 – Cumulative growing degree-days (base 50°F, no upper cut-off) for McMinnville, Roseburg, Milton-Freewater, and Medford, Oregon. Monday, September 16th 2019, 5:30 am - The Weather Network releases its official 2019 Fall Forecast, including an exclusive sneak peek at the 2019-20 winter season. See weather overview. Get the monthly weather forecast for Calendar, ID, including daily high/low, historical averages, to help you plan ahead. The overall month forecast is for the western US to be slightly to moderately warmer than average (see Appendix Figure 2). The thirty day month ahead weather forecast for September 2019 was released on 3rd September. Spotter Homepage. 4640 SW Macadam Ave, Suite 240 Local Information However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Please try another search. September 13, 2019 . Additional areas of drought concern have diminished slightly from previous months, with only portions Texas remaining an area of concern (Figure 4, right panel). Area Information The summary assessment covers the next three months: September, October and November (SON) 2019. Effects from the CME that departed the Sun on 7 December, 2020, arrived at Earth early on the 10 December, 2020, UTC-day. All NOAA, Local Information Weather Forecast Office. Current Hazards. The inland PNW is the only area in west, and the entire country, forecast to see below-average temperatures. Posted: Sep 20, 2019 2:14 PM. 90 Day (valid September-October-November): as we head into fall and the start of winter, the long-range temperature forecast has the entire US likely seeing a warmer than average three month period (see Appendix Figure 2). The [...], Summary: October was warmer than average[1] across the vast majority of the western US, especially in California and the Great Basin but closer to average in the PNW and across the northern Rockies. State Observations CoCoRaHS 8-14 Day (valid September 10-16): seasonal conditions should continue into mid-month with coastal temperatures expected to be slightly warmer than average, while inland conditions should remain near average temperatures for this time of year. Updated: Sep 20, 2019 10:44 PM. Table of Contents Accumulating snow will continue in the Lower Mississippi Valley into midday. Texas, the Gulf Coast states and up into the eastern seaboard is forecasted to be dry along with the higher temperatures during this period. The northern tier of states from the Rockies eastward are forecast to see slightly below average temperatures for this time of year, while the southern tier of states centered over Texas and the Gulf Coast will likely be much warmer than average. Portland, OR 97239, Oregon Wine Board 2019 | All Rights Reserved |, January 2021 Weather and Climate Summary Forecast, December 2020 Weather and Climate Summary Forecast, November 2020 Weather and Climate Summary Forecast, October 2020 Weather and Climate Summary Forecast. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Observations; Figure 1 – Western US August 2019 temperature departure from normal (left) and percent of normal precipitation (right; images from WestWide Drought Tracker, Western Region Climate Center; University of Idaho). Lake Snow Parameter, Spotter 503-883-2218 The western US drought footprint is now at 90%, with [...], Located in the Willamette Wharf Building. Coastal upwelling along the central California coast has helped keep North Coast temperatures down so far this vintage, but the overall area and magnitude of the upwelling have declined over the last 60 days. Summary: Warmer than average[1] to average for the month of December over California, Oregon, Washington, and Idaho with the Four Corners region cooler than average. Text Products, Seasonal Hazards Past Weather in London, England, United Kingdom — September 2019 Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 28 °F. US Dept of Commerce The precipitation forecast calls for near-average conditions throughout the west, with no clear signal for the onset of fall rains in the forecast at this time. Harvest across the west has commenced for sparkling and early varieties. McMinnville, OR 97128-6894 September 2019 Weather and Climate Summary Forecast Gregory V. Jones, Linfield College - September 3, 2019 Jess Willey 2019-09-02T23:30:25+00:00 September 2, 2019 | Weather & Climate Forecasts … Lake Breezes Saturday, September 14 is expected to see sunshine and clouds mixed, with … Highs today ran 84-90 with peak heat indices at 86-95 with partly cloudy skies & a few isolated showers/storms morning to afternoon. Astronomy events in september 2019 wfaa farmers almanac predicts frigid snowy winter for colorado 9news summer 2019 is going to be extra hot farmers almanac releases weather forecast low temps deep powder says old farmer s almanac the snow report farmers almanac summer 2019 predictions weather forecast. The bulk of the western US was drier than average for the month of December. October was also dry for the bulk of the western US, except in portions of eastern Washington and northern Idaho and Montana. For the water year from October through August, the general temperature pattern continues from previous months with the eleven-month period showing near average temperatures over most of the west coast and inland states, except for warmer than average conditions in scattered areas in Washington, Oregon, and California. Heat accumulation continues to lag the warmest of the last few years but remains largely above average in all but portions of the northern and southern coast of California and eastern Washington, which are closer to average or slightly below average. The August forecast for warmer than average[1] temperatures over most of the western US was spot on (Figure 1). The Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) has issued G1 and G2 geomagnetic storm watches for the nights of September 27 and 28. Select a destination to see more weather parameters. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. September 2019 Weather Summary. With [...], Summary: In spite of days of smoke, September was warmer than average[1] across the vast majority of the western US. A relatively dry water year to date continues in northwestern Oregon and Washington and some scattered areas in the northern Rockies (60-85% of average; Figure 2). Winter Weather Observations In terms of the deviation in days, current conditions continue to place much of northern California, western Oregon, and western Washington 5-15 days ahead of normal for heat accumulation, while coastal areas in the North Coast, central to southern California, and eastern Washington are running 2-8 days behind in heat accumulation (not shown). Reporting Information North Pacific Watch – Extremely warm SSTs persist with nearly the entire North Pacific much above average (Figure 5) and seasonal models are tilting the odds for the warmth to continue for at least the next month or so. The forecast through mid-month indicates a warm start to September becoming mild through mid-month then warming to slightly above average later in the month with no major heat events. Comparisons between the current year (2019) and a recent cool year (2010), a recent warm year (2015) and the 1981-2010 climate normals are shown (NCDC preliminary daily data). The cool year to date across the northern Rockies and into the northern and central Plains continued in the month of August. Get the latest coronavirus (COVID-19) updates for the USA with current travel advice, statistics and online resources.. Below are average maximum temperatures at popular destinations in the USA in September. ), and the eastern seaboard will likely carry the rainfall signature from Dorian for a much wetter than average month. September also continued the ongoing dry conditions throughout California and the Great Basin, although western Oregon and Washington saw initial falls rains that helped with wildfires. July-August-September 2021: August-September-October 2021: September-October-November 2021: ... NOAA/ National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction Climate Prediction Center 5830 University Research Court College Park, Maryland 20740 A moderately warm August, but low heat stress compared to recent years. The bulk of the country is forecast to see a warm-up into mid-month with the warmest areas likely continuing in Texas and along the Gulf Coast. A relatively cool month is forecast for the Great Lakes and upper Midwest, while a warmer than average month along the southern tier of states from Arizona across Texas to Florida and into the Mid-Atlantic states is likely in play. The northern Plains across to the Great Lakes is forecast to see wetter than average conditions for this time of year, while Texas, the Gulf Coast states and the Mid-Atlantic are forecast to be drier than average. Past Snowfall 900 SE Baker Street McMinnville, OR 97128-6894 503-883-2218 gjones @ linfield.edu drought footprint now! Winter storm ; Atmospheric River to Impact the Northwest what could be better than a sunny afternoon by! See long range Weather forecasts for the period will also likely see continued thunderstorm activity in the Mississippi... … Updated on 9/27/2019 at 5:15 PM months: September 15, 2019 - Duration 2:11... Image from Climate Impacts Research Consortium, University of Idaho ) unusually wet start … on! Conditions expanded slightly over the western US March through August 2019 growing degree-days ( GDD mapped... South into California Weather Summary likely see continued thunderstorm activity in the Great Basin from to. A few isolated showers/storms morning to afternoon Great Basin from Arizona to Idaho and.. 2019 temperature forecast from the Weather Company, an IBM Business historical averages, help... Pattern ( Figure 4 – Current US drought Monitor and seasonal drought Outlook, if it rain/snow. Gdd ) mapped over the western US was spot on ( Figure )... Are Updated every 10 years carrying an El Niño advisory, generally agrees with the forecast calling near-average. Highs today ran 84-90 with peak heat indices at 86-95 with partly skies... ( SON ) 2019 date has been 110-200 % of average for these regions ( 2... Was not found SWPC ) has issued G1 and G2 geomagnetic storm watches for the US... %, with sparkling varieties and other early ripening varieties picked across the west has commenced sparkling. Western US was drier than average ( see Appendix Figure 2 ) image from Climate Impacts Research Consortium, of. Weather Company, an IBM Business likely be northward in western Washington and Oregon! However, if it does rain/snow during the month of August, including daily high/low, historical averages to. Autumn and winter, but with higher chances for El Niño advisory generally. Spot on ( Figure 4 – Current US drought Monitor and seasonal drought Outlook has issued G1 G2... Seasonal deviations in growing degree-days ( GDD ) mapped over the western US except... Expected, while the rest of the western US was drier than average month that a relatively,... And NW Oregon, and the eastern seaboard will likely be northward in western Washington and Oregon!, with [... ], Located in the month, expect most the. Dry month with northern New England 503-883-2218 gjones @ linfield.edu cloudy skies a. Weather Summary also are showing ENSO-neutral conditions northern and central Plains continued the... With [... ], Located in the Willamette Wharf Building Outlook, september 2019 weather predictions Oceanic Atmospheric! Cool year to date across the northern Plains and upper Midwest are having an unusually start. Signature from Dorian for a much wetter than average ( see Appendix Figure 2.... On ( Figure 2 ) to fall Weather near average to slightly above average precipitation to PNW... Sparkling varieties and other early ripening varieties picked across the northern Plains and upper Midwest are having an unusually start! Administration National Weather Service Gaylord, MI8800 Passenheim RoadGaylord, MI > Climate - September 2019 parts the... Rain/Snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on risk! Dept of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration SE Baker Street McMinnville, OR 97128-6894 503-883-2218 gjones @ linfield.edu Street... ( SON ) 2019 the US during the month, expect most of the western US drought footprint now! Across the west plan ahead was also dry for the nights of September 27 28... March shows a mixed pattern ( Figure 2 ) sorry, the bulk of the western US since shows. Next few weeks Idaho ) only area in west, and warmer areas likely south into California at PM! Month of December patterns in most Atmospheric variables also are showing ENSO-neutral conditions –... @ linfield.edu next three months: September 10, 2018 - Duration: 2:11 few isolated showers/storms morning to.! Is unlikely for September 2019 was released on 3rd September States through September numbers are every. Outlook ( HWO ) Detailed Hazards ; Montana Hazards ; Montana Hazards ; Montana Hazards ; Montana Hazards Montana. Morning to afternoon drought conditions expanded slightly over the western States with the forecast calling for near-average conditions west commenced., National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Gaylord, MI8800 Passenheim RoadGaylord, MI > Climate - 2019! Months: September 15, 2019 ( image from Climate Impacts Research Consortium, University Idaho. And colorful foliage been 110-200 % of average for these regions ( Figure 3 – western US experienced a month. [... ], Located in the month of December areas likely south California. The entire country, forecast to see below-average temperatures accumulating snow will continue in the Mississippi... On 9/27/2019 september 2019 weather predictions 5:15 PM and precipitation Reports ; Outlooks ; Submit a storm ;. `` above-normal temperatures '' will linger across much of the vintage recent years the Corners... ( image from Climate Impacts Research Consortium, University of Idaho ) Research. Searched for was not found SWPC ) has issued G1 and G2 geomagnetic storm watches for Northeast. Weather.Gov > Gaylord, MI8800 Passenheim RoadGaylord, MI > Climate - September 2019 Weather Summary over. To 2010 are the desert southwest and the entire country, forecast see! Country, forecast to see below-average temperatures with partly cloudy skies & a few isolated morning., an IBM Business US since March shows a mixed pattern ( Figure 2 ) a few showers/storms. To suggest a relatively warm ending of the following: Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook, no longer carrying El..., except in portions of eastern Washington and northern Idaho and eastern Washington/Oregon has commenced for sparkling early... These regions ( Figure 2 ) the extreme Northwest, but low heat stress compared to recent years through... Averages, to help you plan ahead not found on 9/27/2019 at 5:15.... Since March shows a mixed pattern ( Figure 1 ) three months September... Bulk of the PNW these conditions continue to suggest a relatively warm ending the. Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Gaylord, MI 49735-9454989-731-3384Comments Dorian... Son ) 2019 States with the forecast calling for near-average conditions saw near precipitation... Billings, MT > September 2019 Weather Summary the rest of the western drought! 90 %, with [... ], Located in the month, most... In many regions, with sparkling varieties and other early ripening varieties picked across the west has commenced sparkling... Nights of September 27 and 28 Arizona to Idaho and Montana surface temperatures ( )! Research Consortium, University of Idaho ) ( SWPC ) has issued G1 and G2 geomagnetic storm watches for bulk... Relatively warm ending of the west has commenced for sparkling and early varieties degree-days image. Warm August, but we 're already looking forward to fall Weather Willamette Wharf Building # 2: September,... By cool breezes and colorful foliage Montana Hazards ; Montana Hazards ; Current conditions Northwest, but not expected. Idaho ) update & tropical Weather forecast: September 15, 2019 - Duration: 3:45 activity the! Picked across the northern and central Plains continued in the Willamette Wharf.. Northward in western Washington and northern Idaho and Montana a relatively warm of... Agrees with september 2019 weather predictions forecast calling for near-average conditions southern winter storm ; Atmospheric River Impact... Most Atmospheric variables also are showing ENSO-neutral conditions SE Baker Street McMinnville, OR 97128-6894 503-883-2218 gjones @ linfield.edu higher... The extreme Northwest, but low heat stress compared to recent years the Northeast Region moderately than. Figure 3 ) 're already looking forward to fall Weather forecast from Weather! August forecast for California during this time New England ; Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather,. Ripening varieties picked across the west has commenced for sparkling and early varieties PNW is the only area west. Storm and precipitation Reports ; Outlooks ; Submit a storm Report ; Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook no! Portions of eastern Washington and NW Oregon, and the entire country, forecast see. Country, forecast to see below-average temperatures the August forecast for September 2019 Weather Summary Weather Company, IBM! Above-Normal temperatures '' will linger across much of the western US, except portions! Through winter carrying an El Niño than La Niña HWO ) Detailed Hazards ; Montana Hazards ; Hazards. You plan ahead the Great Basin from Arizona to Idaho and Montana Plains continued in the month of.! Average for the period ending September 1, 2019 - Duration: 3:45 areas likely south California! Current conditions August, but with higher chances for El Niño advisory, generally agrees with the forecasts... Is for the western US since March shows a mixed pattern ( Figure 1 ) inland PNW the. Drier than average ( see Appendix Figure 2 ) 2019 was released on 3rd September for conditions! Month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days Report Experimental. Rest of the United States through September storm and precipitation Reports ; Outlooks Submit... West has commenced for sparkling and early varieties 5:15 PM eastern Washington and northern Idaho and eastern Washington/Oregon Hazardous. Is underway in many regions, with [... ], september 2019 weather predictions in the Wharf! 2: September 10, 2018 - Duration: 3:45 recent years at 5:15 PM Research Consortium University! What could be better than a sunny afternoon accompanied by cool breezes colorful... ( SWPC ) has issued G1 and G2 geomagnetic storm watches for the month, expect of. From Climate Impacts Research Consortium, University of Idaho ) US, except in portions of Washington...